Gráficos y análisis del Lemming

jueves, 11 de octubre de 2012

Techos y suelos de mercado desde 1950

Doug Short analiza el ciclo bursátil. El informe completo aquí

We're now at an early point in the Q3 2012 earnings season, which happens, of course, in October, historically the most volatile month in the U.S. stock market. Let's step for a moment into the realm of market trivia and consider the October Effect in the stock market. October is the month that has, by far, hosted the most major market bottoms -- five of the ten in the chart below. As for market tops, October has hosted only one since 1950, the all-time high on October 9, 2007 -- the fifth anniversary of which we celebrated on Tuesday.




In terms of average monthly performance, here's a chart illustrating the behavior of the months since 1950. September has the worst track record. October is somewhere in the middle of the pack.




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